Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 2.502138 2.896458 3.341168 3.881514 4.522530 5.261381 6.181366
2025-02-23 1.919206 2.434591 3.079266 3.952267 5.114859 6.625622 8.763224
2025-03-02 1.577253 2.122711 2.852732 3.915420 5.446571 7.609538 10.962516
2025-03-09 1.376061 1.942258 2.742768 3.979580 5.882991 8.769810 13.613882
2025-03-16 1.200165 1.761730 2.592624 3.942192 6.138834 9.680948 16.052555
2025-03-23 1.067235 1.621298 2.474561 3.923504 6.403877 10.633247 18.746701
2025-03-30 0.948059 1.483900 2.338480 3.847780 6.550321 11.396612 21.257175
2025-04-06 0.875040 1.409535 2.291295 3.909413 6.938008 12.648281 24.977619
2025-04-13 0.787465 1.299779 2.169666 3.819419 7.028083 13.349427 27.736226
2025-04-20 0.748941 1.268535 2.178250 3.965491 7.588852 15.077643 33.143030
2025-04-27 0.691737 1.197628 2.106808 3.947966 7.817246 16.156589 37.337776
2025-05-04 0.660542 1.169934 2.110662 4.077217 8.370024 18.045108 44.024827
2025-05-11 0.613582 1.115038 2.070127 4.140531 8.862275 20.072622 52.218021
2025-05-18 0.570627 1.064353 2.034751 4.218301 9.429416 22.495875 62.678129
2025-05-25 0.521966 0.995830 1.953033 4.178571 9.707798 24.266372 71.975317
2025-06-01 0.489064 0.954705 1.921914 4.247625 10.271538 26.965577 85.495206
2025-06-08 0.451001 0.898171 1.849956 4.207385 10.543621 28.928478 97.473811
2025-06-15 0.418821 0.850271 1.790487 4.187273 10.867022 31.149112 111.575797
2025-06-22 0.385872 0.796959 1.711937 4.105788 11.000864 32.827793 124.486632
2025-06-29 0.365993 0.770326 1.691501 4.172109 11.585308 36.182996 146.480510
2025-07-06 0.338084 0.722499 1.614961 4.075274 11.653053 37.793496 161.626757
2025-07-13 0.327226 0.712785 1.629395 4.232461 12.564563 42.782633 196.577288
2025-07-20 0.307783 0.680772 1.584563 4.213600 12.896798 45.711422 223.019132